/ reliability · 30 tickers tracked
/ original to BioSight
Who hits their dates, scored from every catalyst’s public disclosure trail.
How scored?
score = hitRate × (1 − min(avgSlipDays / 120, 1) × 0.5)
hitRate = catalysts that landed on the first announced date / total resolved. avgSlipDays dampens the score so a 90% hit-rate with 60-day slips beats a 90% hit-rate with 6-month slips.
Recently slipped
last 3Your watchlist
5 savedavg reliability
0.50
50% across saved
with catalyst <30d
2
of 5 saved
watch thisSRPT0.47in 27d
ELEVIDYS sBLA Cellular, Tissue, and Gene Therapies AdCom
Reliability leaderboard · 30 companies
sorted by composite reliability · click any row for the company drill-down
Sector
Phase
CompanyWorst-slip event
01REGNRegeneron10/1137d66dNDA filing02INCYIncyte6/739d77dNDA filing03BMYBristol Myers Squibb5/653d88dAdCom briefing04ALNYAlnylam11/1356d89dPhase 2 readout05IONSIonis11/1451d79dPhase 2 readout06ARDXArdelyx10/1350d96dNDA filing07FOLDAmicus Therapeutics7/957d85dPhase 2 readout08AXSMAxsome Therapeutics8/1147d69dInterim analysis09AKROAkero Therapeutics8/1148d83dPhase 2 readout10MDGLMadrigal7/1046d76dPhase 3 readout11BMRNBioMarin10/1367d122dInterim analysis12VKTXViking Therapeutics4/645d89dNDA filing13BIIBBiogen6/873d140dPhase 2 readout14BPMCBlueprint Medicines5/776d119dPhase 2 readout15SRPTSarepta Therapeutics4/671d109dPDUFA decision16KODKodiak Sciences7/1164d126dPhase 3 readout17ARWRArrowhead Pharmaceuticals4/673d124dPhase 2 readout18IMVTImmunovant4/674d112dAdCom briefing19BCRXBioCryst8/1363d94dInterim analysis20SAGESage Therapeutics8/1468d112dNDA filing21CRSPCRISPR Therapeutics8/1485d137dNDA filing22MRNAModerna6/1279d138dPDUFA decision23RXRXRecursion4/883d127dInterim analysis24RYTMRhythm Pharmaceuticals4/888d162dPDUFA decision25NTLAIntellia6/1289d150dPhase 2 readout26BEAMBeam Therapeutics3/771d133dNDA filing27VERVVerve Therapeutics4/988d162dInterim analysis28EDITEditas Medicine5/1280d137dAdCom briefing29RCKTRocket Pharmaceuticals3/884d146dInterim analysis30CRBUCaribou Biosciences2/670d102dInterim analysis
0.77
0.72
0.65
0.65
0.62
0.61
0.59
0.58
0.58
0.57
0.55
0.54
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0.49
0.47
0.47
0.46
0.46
0.45
0.41
0.37
0.34
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0.32
0.31
0.30
0.28
0.28
0.24
0.24
Cash runway × next catalyst
X: months of runway · Y: days until next event
Runway × catalyst — who needs the next data?
Each dot is a tracked company. Click any dot to drill in.
High stakesWell-funded sprintBurn watchStable